Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.154591 0.178843 0.205623 0.237384 0.274027 0.314983 0.364243
2025-11-02 0.113711 0.145474 0.184154 0.234716 0.299088 0.378348 0.483446
2025-11-09 0.089578 0.122896 0.166321 0.227054 0.309841 0.418844 0.573490
2025-11-16 0.077468 0.112524 0.160820 0.232191 0.335053 0.478096 0.692527
2025-11-23 0.067400 0.102870 0.154143 0.233624 0.353839 0.529118 0.804714
2025-11-30 0.060125 0.095925 0.149945 0.237345 0.375364 0.585293 0.929747
2025-12-07 0.052337 0.086957 0.141292 0.232710 0.382887 0.620310 1.025366
2025-12-14 0.046302 0.079876 0.134526 0.229868 0.392322 0.658509 1.129326
2025-12-21 0.042279 0.075546 0.131571 0.232682 0.410949 0.712971 1.265481
2025-12-28 0.040127 0.074112 0.133209 0.243322 0.443795 0.794277 1.456081
2026-01-04 0.037573 0.071611 0.132632 0.249824 0.469797 0.866009 1.637020
2026-01-11 0.035158 0.069049 0.131597 0.255245 0.494187 0.936978 1.823710
2026-01-18 0.032479 0.065731 0.128904 0.257449 0.513176 1.000716 2.005433
2026-01-25 0.029473 0.061418 0.123851 0.254522 0.521950 1.046108 2.156886
2026-02-01 0.026249 0.056267 0.116556 0.246217 0.518931 1.067899 2.263004
2026-02-08 0.024797 0.054613 0.116087 0.251786 0.544775 1.149827 2.501460
2026-02-15 0.023106 0.052242 0.113855 0.253340 0.562237 1.216124 2.713798
2026-02-22 0.021795 0.050544 0.112846 0.257373 0.585374 1.296488 2.965002
2026-03-01 0.019877 0.047251 0.108008 0.252348 0.587850 1.332374 3.120868
2026-03-08 0.018300 0.044562 0.104220 0.249268 0.594334 1.377613 3.302705
2026-03-15 0.017301 0.043125 0.103126 0.252318 0.615333 1.457645 3.574232
2026-03-22 0.016932 0.043173 0.105489 0.263852 0.657690 1.591179 3.987835
2026-03-29 0.016292 0.042474 0.105995 0.270901 0.689876 1.703847 4.362478